Alex Meshkin

It is not possible to predict the road NASCAR will travel by the time we reach the final 2019 checkered flag, but it will be entertaining to speculate.

This decade begins as NASCAR tail spins in the wrong direction it’s a sharp contrast to the beginning of the last decade when NASCAR viewership, attendance and corporate interest were all surging. Today, all of those trends are in reverse, and this decade will truly define whether NASCAR remains as a mainstream sport or becomes another fledgling motorsport series.

I believe the major stories and events that will affect NASCAR in the coming years will have little or nothing to do with on track racing. So let me begin with a few predictions before we take our first green flag of 2010.

According to Sports Media Watch, FOX has its lowest rated NASCAR season ever.

A year of declines has concluded with FOX drawing its lowest average rating for NASCAR since the net began airing races in ‘01.

Excluding the rain delayed Coca Cola 600, 12 NASCAR races averaged a 5.1/11 rating and 8.5 million viewers on FOX during the 2009 season, down 11% in ratings and 9% in viewers from a 5.7/12 and 9.3 million last year, and the lowest rated season ever for NASCAR on FOX.

Last Sunday’s Autism Speaks 400 drew a 4.0/10 final rating on FOX, down 11% from a 4.5/11 for the same race last year.

Every single, solitary NASCAR Sprint Cup telecast on FOX — all twelve races, the Budweiser Shootout and Daytona 500 Qualifying — saw declining ratings this season. 10 of the 12 races saw double-digit declines, including the last nine.

Despite the declines, NASCAR on FOX easily topped its competition. The 5.1 rating for NASCAR races on FOX is 65% higher than the 3.1 average for the ‘09 NBA Playoffs (not including the ongoing NBA Finals) and 16% higher than the 4.4 for last year’s MLB Playoffs (including the World Series).

Additionally, the 8.5 million viewers is 42% higher than the 6.0 million for last year’s college football bowl games (including the BCS), and is only slightly off from the 8.9 million viewers for last year’s NCAA Tournament (including the Final Four).

Ratings for NASCAR on FOX in 2009.
Asterisk (*) indicates race was moved to another day because of rain.

The Associated Press (AP) has reported Brian France, CEO of NASCAR, has directed his management to work with teams in developing new business models that can help them withstand the current economic crisis. As we are all aware, NASCAR teams rely on corporate sponsorship to fund the majority of their operating budgets, which is substantially different than any other major sport. Whereas, NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB teams participate in higher levels of revenue sharing as a result of a franchise business model.

“We’re trying to do more with less. That’s the difficult part of this economy,” France said following his state-of-the-sport address to media at NASCAR’s Research and Development Center. Just back in December, NASCAR issued a statement stating that NASCAR heading into 2009 was “strong”.

This outlook is a rather quick reversal, but perhaps the gravity of the current economic climate and mass sponsor deflections is making an impact.

Doing more with less? Working with teams to develop new business models? I apologize, but in my humble opinion, it’s a little too late for a half-baked plan. But even worse and what is frustrating is NASCAR’s continued unwillingness to restructure the distribution of television revenues to rightly supplement teams’ operating budgets.

What NASCAR needs is a business model which more closely replicates Formula 1 or a franchise structure like every other major sport. As a fervent advocate for team rights, I have repeatedly voiced the need to develop a franchise model that would enable teams to weather macroeconomic difficulties; and subsequently, become less cyclical and more stable during recessions and economic turmoil. The time for leadership, sacrifice and decisive action on behalf of the France Family is NOW. But to the contrary, the Brian France plan is nothing more than reinforcing their past strategies of working with teams to help locate and secure sponsors. While his intentions may be honorable; they are nevertheless naïve when considering there is a global economic recession; and specifically, when the NASCAR industry is in a depression of historic proportions. At this moment, I don’t believe there is a single corporation that is considering spending $15-$30 million required to fund a primary sponsorship program for a NASCAR Sprint Cup team. So I am rather befuddled with Brian France’s simplistic strategy to save the sport, which unfortunately in its current form will contribute to the sport’s certain collapse.

Is it possible that the past success of NASCAR is blinding Brian France from seeing the light? Reflecting back to 60 years ago to the earlier days of NASCAR, Bill France Sr. (Brian France’s grandfather) executed a flawless business plan to convince the then stock car racers and event promoters to become part of his newly formed organization and sanctioning body (NASCAR), whereby he gained complete control over stock car racing. The foundation of NASCAR’s “business model” problems ironically stem from the grand success of Bill Sr. and his unilateral control of a racing empire, including control over the majority of racing venues (International Speedway Corp) and the stock car sanctioning body. Over the past half-century, teams competing in NASCAR relied almost exclusively on corporate sponsors to fund their operations – enabling the France Family to retain a majority of the sports revenues and amass a large network of racing venues, and establishing NASCAR Holdings, an incredibly profitable wholly owned private company.

Those times have dramatically changed and for too long, NASCAR teams have tolerated the exploitation and willingly bore the total burden to exclusively fund their operations through advertising and sponsorship. The rapid increases in costs of racing and teams’ operating expenses of the past 5 years, combined with the minimal increase in sponsorship value – have brought the teams’ very existence into question.

One must wonder, how long can the France Family continue their racing monopoly? Historically, race teams have avoided conflict with the France Family; and the only entities to challenge the France Family’s monopoly have been race track owners, such as Burton Smith and Speedway Motorsports. Even through the France Family has weathered many possible anti-trust challenges with settling most disputes outside the judicial system; I believe the current financial crisis and advertising recession is about to test the resolve of the France Family and their prehistoric business model.

In a stark contrast to the past decade, NASCAR is falsely promoting an image of growth and strength by stating that 15 new organizations have applied for licensing to compete in the Sprint Cup Series. What they fail to mention and what many novices are unaware – almost all of those “new” teams are merely opportunistic racers attempting to profit by a method called: “start and park”, which allows them to collect sizable race winnings (in comparison to their expenses) with a team and car specifically built to just run one or two laps, enabling them to collect profits – all without adding ANY value to the sport. What a sad day it is for the diehard NASCAR fan.

As many of you know, I was the founder of Bang Racing which was NASCAR’s most successful first year team in history. At the young age of 23, I built and operated this highly successful team and we made history finishing 2nd in our first race (Daytona) and winning our 13th race (Michigan International Speedway), which was the first win for Toyota in NASCAR history. While all this is now historical facts found in the archives of NASCAR history, what is typically not understood is that even as a very competitive team, our business model was fundamentally flawed because generating a profit was nearly impossible. Simply put; the cost of running a NASCAR team far exceeds its sponsorship/advertising revenue potential and without significant “business model” changes by the France Family, teams are doomed for failure.

NASCAR must be the only sport where the most profitable teams are the biggest losers’ and where finishing dead-last or not even attempting to win makes more money than being a top competitor. Something is dreadfully wrong when the most competitive teams with great on track performance cannot survive because the costs of running their teams far exceed their revenue potential. The problem is clear: without teams receiving a larger share of the sports’ multi-billion dollar television contracts – there will be no strategy that can make viable a long-term solution for the sport – that is the simple reality.

However, being the “optimist”, I hope Brian France and will realize quickly that his family has the unilateral ability to deliver the change in business model the teams and sport require to survive.

Frustrated over the lackluster excitement of the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series – I feel I am not alone. The racing was bland, personalities were muffled and there was not a compelling reason to watch most races. I tend to be a traditionalist in my view of the sport and the championship points system – but times have changed; and subsequently, their needs to be a dramatic adjustment to ignite fan interest.

We all agree that NASCAR has a lot of problems. Simply but, this may be an example of the “chicken or the egg” syndrome. The fundamental metric which must improve is fan viewership. While this is not the end all solution – it would significantly improve teams’ ability to attract more corporate sponsors. At the same time, increasing fan viewership alone will not fix the sponsorship depression and teams’ ability to finance their operations. NASCAR needs resurgence – and if fan viewership is a MUST to reverse the current trend to drive more sponsor interest – then HOW do they make it happen?

Unlike any other major American sport – NASCAR rewards consistency over victory. So basically, under the current points system – you could finish second in every race and pretty much be guaranteed the Championship in the Sprint Cup Series. I don’t know about you but I have never celebrated my favorite driver’s runner-up finish. The famous philosopher Ricky Bobby once said, “If you ain’t first, you’re last”. Or, as legendary driver Dale Earnhardt put it, “Second place is just the first loser”. It’s time for NASCAR to incentivize and reward winning! Fans celebrate winning drivers and sponsors reward winning teams – the Championship and monetary system needs to reward “winning” and not “staying out of trouble”.

I’m curious – is there anyone else out there wondering why a driver can win the Sprint Cup Championship without a single race victory? It doesn’t make sense to me! And furthermore 4 of the 12 that qualified for the 2008 Chase for the Cup didn’t even win in the regular season. Sorry guys, while I have the greatest respect for Jeff Gordon and Kevin Harvick – honestly, you didn’t win in the regular season (or the Chase for that matter) – so you shouldn’t have the opportunity to be the Sprint Cup Champion.

So here are the basics of my proposal to increase on-track excitement and create more fan interest:

• You must win a race during the regular season to be a part of the Chase for the Cup and the Chase should be limited to a maximum of 10 drivers.

• The Chase Contenders should have a completely different points system which makes the championship more competitive and puts an emphasis on race victories.

• Redistribute the championship fund year-end bonuses to individual race victories. For example, if you were to take $20M from the year-end points fund and add $550K to each race victory – that would increase the average race winnings for 1st place to about $1 million per race. This would encourage drivers to take risks and forgo their “points racing” mindset which is ruining the sport.

NASCAR’s failure to act and evolve – if continued down this slippery slope – will result in further sponsor deflections, which could cause an irreversible contraction in all aspects of the sport we all love.

On Sunday Morning, Bruton Smith conducted an interview with ESPN. After questioned about the challenging times that is facing NASCAR; Smith reaffirmed his desire to acquire NASCAR and said, “And it’s getting closer”, referring to the possibility of the France Family looking to sell NASCAR. Is Smith just stirring the pot? Or perhaps, is the France Family finally considering ending their strangle-hold on the sport?
Hypothetically, let us assume Smith’s statements are backed by an element of fact and that the France Family is looking to sell NASCAR. It is my opinion that a change in ownership from the France Family to Smith would not bring about the change needed to put NASCAR back on the track for growth. As discussed in my most recent blog entry, The Failing NASCAR Economy: A Time for Action! - NASCAR must act to bring forth changes to support its lifeblood – the race teams. A Smith regime would only continue the same old policies of providing the race tracks a disproportionate share of the television revenues as compared to the racing teams. These policies need to change – NASCAR Sprint Cup Teams must receive a greater portion of the television revenues earned by the sport – because without Teams there is no NASCAR. Yes, tracks are valuable, but as Formula 1 has proven, track owners and promoters are willing to host events without large subsidies from the governing body.
The best avenue to save our sport and put it back on track, allowing it to grow into the next decade, is for an entrepreneurial executive; who understands the sport, new media and the market trends to lead a leveraged buyout – partially funded by a team franchise model – where 43 Sprint Cup Teams would receive a minority ownership and participate in profit sharing to ensure the stability of the premiere NASCAR series – the Sprint Cup.
The impending fluctuations expected in the number of competitors in the second most watched sport in country – the Sprint Cup Series, is completely unacceptable. A new ownership structure must include policies and an agreement to secure the future of the Sprint Cup Series by enabling Team Owners to purchase Franchises and receive votes in the future of the sport that they have all built. This new structure would eliminate the sanctioning body from competing with teams for sponsors and create a more healthy sport to ensure its long term future.
2008 has been the year of “change” – Americans want “change”, NASCAR Fans want “change”, NASCAR Teams want “change”. If the France Family provides the opportunity for “change” in the leadership of NASCAR – let us all hope that it is the “right change” that comes to Daytona Beach.

I typically do not publish press releases but I believe Robby Gordon Motorsports (RGM) and Jim Beam should be commended for their efforts to support our troops and their families. Starting tomorrow – on Election Day, RGM and Jim Beam will launch an online charity auction giving racing fans and all Americans the opportunity to show their patriotism, and to bid on a rare racing collectible – with 100% of the proceeds going to support our troops.

If possible check out the auction at: www.ebay.com/operationhomefront

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Deerfield, Ill. – November 3, 2008 – As Veterans Day approaches, racing enthusiasts and philanthropists will have a chance to bid on a unique racing collectible while supporting America’s service members and their families. Robby Gordon Motorsports (RGM), in combined efforts with Jim Beam® Bourbon, has kindly donated the special edition Jim Beam/Operation Homefront race car hood to Operation Homefront for auction.
RGM and Jim Beam created a special Operation Homefront paint scheme for the Richmond and New Hampshire NASCAR® Sprint Cup Series™ events in order to increase awareness of Operation Homefront, a nonprofit organization dedicated to providing emergency assistance and morale to U.S. troops and their families. To celebrate Veterans Day, they will run this paint scheme once more in Phoenix and will increase their commitment by auctioning off the hood to help raise funds for the organization.
“When Jim Beam asked me about running the paint scheme again and donating the hood, I was 100 percent in,” said Robby Gordon driver of the No. 7 Jim Beam Dodge. “Veterans Day is a time to remember the commitments made by the men and women who have served this country, and I’m proud to join Jim Beam in supporting Operation Homefront and our nation’s military families.”
Amy Palmer, founder and vice president of operations for Operation Homefront®, expressed her appreciation for Jim Beam’s and Gordon’s ongoing support. “Robby and Jim Beam have done so much for the families we serve,” she said. “We know we can count on them as well as NASCAR fans to be there for the military community.”
Jim Beam, the world’s No. 1-selling bourbon, formed an association with Operation Homefront earlier this year when it recognized the organization had the same commitment and values as the Jim Beam brand – true character, integrity and doing the right thing.
“This donation is aimed at helping the people who risk their lives to protect our freedom, our troops and their families,” said Brian Gallagher, manager, Jim Beam Racing. “We’re so proud of Operation Homefront and all that they do.”
The hood, autographed by Robby Gordon, will be auctioned off on eBay starting November 4 with the auction closing Veterans Day, November 11, just in time for holiday gift giving. All proceeds will go to Operation Homefront through eBay’s charitable arm, eBay® Giving Works, a fundraising platform for nonprofits that offers buyers and sellers the opportunity to support their favorite causes through trading on eBay.
To access this auction directly, view additional pictures and place bids go to www.ebay.com/operationhomefront

Most will agree that the current economic recession will have a significant financial impact on NASCAR teams and the sport as a whole – but does it really need to be this way? In 2009, there will be significantly less Sprint Cup teams competing on a weekly basis – and yet, in economic downturns other sports such as the NFL or NBA do not have reductions in teams. Why is this so?  The answer is rather simple – other sports operate as a democracy with all teams participating in the economic benefits of the television contracts; while NASCAR on the other hand, is structured much closer to a dictatorship – with the profits being retained by NASCAR Corporate which is owned solely by the France Family.
Let’s examine the recent history and evolution of NASCAR: during the global economic expansion following the tragic events of 2001 – 9/11 & the death of Dale Earnhardt Sr., NASCAR experienced unprecedented interest from corporate sponsors; and growth was fueled by new television contracts with Fox and NBC. Because of NASCAR’s unique business model, which is vastly different than other sports, the industry flourished from 2003 until recently, gathering new teams, with investors and manufacturers flocking to the industry.
As a point of reference, NASCAR is the ONLY major US sport without a franchise model including profit sharing agreements. NASCAR Teams operate in a free market where teams must survive without much financial assistance from NASCAR Corporate; and where new teams can easily compete if they have the financial backing. I was a personal beneficiary of this policy – and at 23 years of age secured an agreement to led Toyota Motorsports into the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series and went on to build  their competitive platform for their NASCAR operation.
I am very fortunate to have realized my lifelong dream of owning and operating a top tier NASCAR team; and even more rewarding to have brought Toyota Motor Sales their first two NASCAR victories. However, this so-called free market is a complete farce! The teams must secure over 90% of their operating budgets from corporate sponsors – a/k/a advertisers. What is more infuriating, and what is not common knowledge, is that NASCAR and its sister company ISC retain the vast majority of the sport’s healthy television contract revenues, and even compete against the teams  for corporate sponsors -  the  lifeblood of the race teams.  As many know, AT&T was forced to leave Richard Childress Racing (RCR) as a primary sponsor because NASCAR Corporate signed an agreement with Nextel (now Sprint) with an exclusivity provision precluding other wireless and telecommunication companies from sponsoring any racing team. So with teams on the verge of a depression – and with automotive manufactures and corporate sponsors reducing their involvement – NASCAR is busy lining their pockets at the expense of the teams.
The most fundamental precept is that without teams – there is no NASCAR; but somehow teams have failed to act on this most basic concept to leverage their position within the sport. Maybe in the past the very wealthy owners such as Rick Hendrick, Jack Roush and Roger Penske were complacent and satisfied with receiving a nominal share in the television revenues; but in today’s economic climate and the ultra competitive advertising marketplace – teams who want to keep standing on their feet, need to act now and demand a fairer share in revenues – not for personal profit; but simply to survive.
The management of NASCAR has a real opportunity to bring forth a “rescue plan” to save teams from closing their doors and fracturing the appeal of NASCAR; which could have irreversible effects on future television contracts and ultimately the profits of the France Family. The beauty of the NASCAR “dictatorship” is that they don’t need to hold a vote or seek the opinions of others; instead, they can just swiftly act to provide an increase in the teams’ alterative revenues, which would enable teams to offer sponsors a lower cost of entry to advertise in NASCAR.
You can’t expect any company to spend $20M to sponsor a NASCAR Team – the ROI isn’t remotely competitive. NASCAR needs to think long term and be willing to sacrifice some of their short term earnings for long term stability and growth in the NASCAR economy.

The global credit crisis may be slowing the M&A markets of Corporate America, however, mergers and acquisitions remain all the buzz in NASCAR. Back in July, I wrote Team Consolidation on the Horizon and it appears more likely than ever that Michael Waltrip Racing (MWR) led by Robert Kauffman will acquire Chip Ganassi Racing.
Additionally, speculation is running rampant – Gillette Evernham Motorsports (GEM) will acquire Bill Davis Racing (BDR). With BDR having yet to secure a replacement for Caterpillar for the #22 Toyota Camry, the value proposition of the proposed acquisition appears to be strictly around the coveted partnership with Toyota Motorsports and BDR’s ownership in Triad Racing Development. So it appears that if both transactions are completed; and Gillette changes from Dodge to Toyota – Dodge Motorsports will be left with just Penske Racing and Richard Petty Racing. Furthermore, I suspect at the root of Gillette’s motivation to acquire BDR is the reality that Dodge is looking to leave NASCAR all together. As my readers know, earlier this month Dodge announced their plans to leave the NASCAR Truck Series and with the founding Dodge Sprint Cup Team (Evernham) possibly joining the Toyota camp through the BDR acquisition – I think this will be most definitive indication that Dodge is saying “bye bye” to NASCAR.
It’s rather apparent, that in 2009 the pit lane of the NASCAR Sprint Cup series will be dominated and owned by just a few organizations. One must wonder – will NASCAR reverse their policy to limit teams to just 4 cars? – Because in 2010, Roush Fenway Racing will be required to “sell” one of their teams which is expected to be transferred to Yates Racing. However, NASCAR may reverse or postpone plans to prevent any additional sponsorship deflections.
With primary sponsors becoming increasingly elusive and operating costs continuing to soar, the benefits of team consolidation may be the only way for the NASCAR teams to have a fighting chance of survival. The fact is clear: The economies of scale and integrated marketing advantages are vital to remaining competitive on the track and attractive to the few remaining potential sponsors.
Is there any hope for NASCAR’s future? Yes, but not without some major changes and “redistribution of wealth”. NASCAR’s unfair revenue model and overall lack of innovation are the primary contributing causes to the sponsorship crisis for race teams. NASCAR needs to immediately revise the distribution of TV revenues to fairly compensate the race teams – or face the reality that the life expectancy of many NASCAR race teams are limited at best and more teams will continue to close their doors.

The first domino has fallen in the shakeup with the Big 3 automotive manufacturers’ involvement in NASCAR. The exit announcement by Dodge is the latest blow to the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series which has yet to find a title sponsor to replace Craftsman in 2009 and beyond. In 2009, Dodge will not provide any financial support to any teams in the series. Dodge Motorsports senior manager Mike Delahanty said,

“We’ll have no factory-funded teams.”

Delahanty told ESPN.com,

“When times are tough, there are certain things that are lower on the priority list than others.”

This leaves us to ponder: Are the other series next? For years, rumors have circulated that Dodge would pull out of NASCAR- is it finally happening?

Earlier this decade Dodge was a powerhouse in the NASCAR Truck Series, winning 46 of 99 races from 2001-2004 and championships with drivers Bobby Hamilton in 2004 and Ted Musgrave in 2005. This year, Dodge scaled back its involvement and provided manufacturer support only to Bobby Hamilton Racing-Virginia. However, Dodge informed the team that its factory support would end this season. Delahanty said the manufacturer’s involvement with the Sprint Cup and Nationwide Series is unaffected.

Now you might ask: why hasn’t NASCAR attempted to “fix” the Truck Series value proposition to raise its “priority” with Dodge and the other manufacturers – the answer is part of the problem for NASCAR – with unprecedented sponsorship deflections in the Sprint Cup Series, the Truck Series is a low priority for NASCAR.

As the former owner of Bang Racing, Toyota’s first NASCAR Team to compete in the Truck Series and the leading competitor of Dodge Motorsports, it is a sad day for the entire NASCAR community. As I have predicted, it is only a matter of time before all of the Big 3 reduce their involvement in NASCAR. The writing is clearly on the wall – the inverse proposition of marketing costs versus benefits is an alarming trend and appears to be continually ignored by the NASCAR leadership.

Instead of squarely addressing the concerns of corporate sponsors and automotive manufacturers’ – NASCAR seeks new automotive partners to rejuvenate the floundering Truck Series. In 1999, Dodge Motorsports announced their plans to enter the Truck Series and, at the time, were widely credited with saving the series. In 2003 the Truck Series was still floundering andfloundering and the Big 3 began scaling back yet again, but Toyota Motorsports and Bang Racing soon entered the the Truck Series and delivered an unprecedented amount of media attention which fueled substantial increases in technical, financial and marketing spending from the Big 3 manufacturers in the Truck Series. But now times are tough; and with the uncertainty and questionable sustainability of the Truck Series, combined with plummeting light-truck sales; the odds of NASCAR finding new automotive manufacturer partners is rather slim. Sadly, it appears NASCAR will attempt to solely treat their symptoms and leave the underlying problems unresolved.

Two brands and two industries synonymous with NASCAR – Coors Light (Coors Brewing) and Texaco Havoline (Chevron) have in subsequent years cut ties with Chip Ganassi Racing and ultimately vacated NASCAR team sponsorship. The association and sponsorship of these two industries – Beer and Gasoline/Oil companies with NASCAR have by far the greatest value proposition; and yet they are leaving NASCAR? What is going on here? Even for someone like me who has been writing about the difficult NASCAR sponsorship market is surprised and concerned with Texaco pulling the plug on its storied NASCAR sponsorship program.

What is the root cause of these two prominent and long-term sponsors leaving NASCAR? The answer is simple: there are too many compelling alternatives which have a greater ROI and offer far less risk. Let’s be honest, primary sponsors are asked to commit up to $25 Million to purchase “so called advertising” without any meaningful guaranties of consumer advertising impressions. Sounds rather ominous, right?

Of course, sponsoring Dale Earnhardt Jr. and any of the other top performing drivers offers a unique value proposition: residue value through their brand loyal fans, merchandise and alike. But the vast majority of sponsors are receiving a diminishing ROI by virtue of the rising costs of NASCAR sponsorship and decreased television viewership and race attendance. Since 2004, the cost of becoming a primary sponsor of a top performing Sprint Cup team has soared by over 60% while television ratings have dropped by about 10%. The dichotomy of rising sponsorship costs and decreased television exposure is a disturbing trend which is primarily affecting the worst performing teams but could soon start to challenge the most elite NASCAR teams. The change in corporate sponsors’ attitudes towards NASCAR sponsorship shouldn’t surprise anyone.

However, NASCAR and its Teams have either refused or do not understand how to evolve in the digital age where advertisers can purchase measureable and interactive advertising with far less risk and much greater ROI. Unlike, most “traditional” businesses that reinvent themselves and innovate; NASCAR has failed to bring forth any meaningful innovations that can directly increase sponsors’ exposure and ROI.

Chip Ganassi Racing has had and continues to be one of the best performing open-wheel racing teams; and clearly delivers on and off the track performance for Target in the IndyCar Series. But unfortunately, Chip Ganassi’s foray into NASCAR has been a bitter disappointment. In 2006, Chip Ganassi secured Juan Pablo Montoya to pilot the #42 Texaco Dodge in the Sprint Cup series and hoped the media attention of the former IndyCar and Indy 500 Champion would ignite the performance and success of his NASCAR team. But excluding a few promising races (mostly on road courses) Montoya’s NASCAR career has underperformed. It appears Chip Ganassi Racing may be another victim of the sponsorship race; and soon join NASCAR’s elite defunct team list.

Shortly after the official announcement from Tony Stewart about his plans to race under the rebranded Stewart Haas Racing (formerly, HAAS CNC Racing) for 2009 and beyond – I posted a poll question asking my readers about their predication for Tony Stewart’s success in 2009.

Personally, I am shocked by the overwhelming predication of more than 5 wins for Stewart. While I personally agree with my readers, that Tony Stewart will find more success next year than this – 5+ victories would be a tremendous achievement.
The most intriguing aspect to the Stewart announcement is the further strengthening of the Hendrick Motorsports umbrella. Under the support of Hendrick Motorsports, Stewart Haas Racing will field at least 2 competitive Sprint Cup teams and JR Motorsports will continue in the Nationwide Series. In 2009, Chevrolet will support 10 NASCAR Sprint Cup championship contending race teams: 4 with Hendrick Motorsports, 2 with Stewart Haas Racing, and 4 with Richard Childress Racing (RCR).
The Stewart announcement provides Chevrolet and GM Racing a major conquest in the pursuit to fend off the aggressive maneuvers of Toyota Motorsports and Toyota Racing Development (TRD). As a former business partner of TRD and the Lee White led organization, I look forward to the strategic plans and business maneuvers of Toyota Motorsports in the quest for NASCAR dominance.

Robert Kauffman is the billionaire hedge fund manager from Fortress Investment Group who last year purchased and secured control of Michael Waltrip Racing (MWR) looks now to be leading a movement of NASCAR Sprint Cup Team Owners to survive through consolidation. Personal friendships may even play a significant part in the boardroom discussions. The likely first deal will be the merger of Chip Ganassi Racing and MWR. Both teams currently field 3 Sprint Cup teams and the merged entity would likely be a 3-4 team Sprint Cup organization – a net loss of 2-3 full time teams.
Oh yes, and here is the friendship part of this deal – Chip Ganassi has had a long standing relationship with Lee White, the newly appointed President of Toyota Racing Development (TRD) – and with the financial uncertainty of Chrysler (Dodge), this would provide Chip Ganassi the ability to leave Dodge and become part of the Toyota Motorsports umbrella. Secondly, the “Waltrip” brand no longer has the luster that once existed and it’s unlikely that any new prospective primary sponsor would consider aligning itself with the MWR organization. However, MWR does have a coveted deal with Toyota and with the merged resources of the two organizations; a talented driver like Juan Pablo Montoya should perform far better in 2009 than any of the organizations’ current teams and drivers.
In early 2007, I recall many NASCAR insiders suggesting that the 43 car field needed to be expanded to accommodate all the “new” teams and the “growing” enterprises which make up the Sprint Cup Series. Boy, haven’t the times quickly changed? In 2009, 43 competitive cars in the field will only be a sweet memory.

Richard Childress Racing (RCR) has much to be proud of these days and is tearing up the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series with having all 3 of his cars in the Top 12 in point’s standings; and is currently qualified for the Chase for the Cup. However, the off-the track business maneuvers of this champion contending organization is even more impressive. Yesterday, Caterpillar a long time sponsor of Bill Davis Racing (BDR) announced they signed a multi-year agreement with RCR to become the primary sponsor of Jeff Burton and the #31 team – replacing AT&T who is prevented from returning to the sport by NASCAR and Sprint. This announcement comes on the heels of RCR securing General Mills as the primary sponsor of their 4th team.
It’s ironic – the same rules that help you one season can come back to bite you the next. Case in point, the guaranteed starting position, which is afforded to the teams in the Top 35 in points, has been one of the motivating factors for the switch by Caterpillar to RCR(RCR #31 team is 2nd in the point’s standings). If you recall – this unfortunate rule was instituted by NASCAR only after the BDR Caterpillar team failed to qualify for a race in 2004 under the old rules. Regardless, you must congratulate RCR on their off-track success as they strengthen their organization to be better positioned to effectively compete with the super teams of Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing.
Since 2002, the last year BDR won a race, they have rapidly unraveled and are clearly on the road of becoming defunct. In 2008 we see RCR redefining success with having 3 teams in the top 12; while two other organizations are teetering on the verge of extinction.

(full disclosure: In 2005, my team (Bang! Racing) was adding a Sprint Cup team and the Top 35 rule resulted in the loss of these new sponsors)

Earlier this week, Dale Earnhardt Jr. provided a candid team owner’s perspective of the forthcoming change to the Car of Tomorrow (COT) in the NASCAR Nationwide Series. When asked about his future Sprint Cup plans with JR Motorsports, he said:

“I used to say no way, no way. But it’s almost as expensive to run in the Nationwide Series. And they’re going to bring a COT in and we won’t be able to race in the Nationwide Series with the COT probably. That’ll just be too expensive to switch all that over.”

“…And the COT program is going to be too expensive for me to justify creating a whole new program with COT stuff, so I’d just as soon go into the Cup Series or get out of the Nationwide Series altogether.”

Dale Jr.’s statements raise an alarming concern on the viability of the Nationwide Series. Let’s be honest – if the Nationwide Series business model doesn’t work for JR/Hendrick Motorsports – why then, would anyone think it would work for someone else? I have a hard time envisioning any other team being able to justify the capital expenditure required to compete in the NASCAR Nationwide Series with the COT. The pending arrival of the COT to the Nationwide Series couldn’t be at a worst economic time. Even teams such as Richard Childress Racing (RCR) are struggling to find new sponsors; and in retrospect, recently announced that the former Championship #21 team would be reducing its schedule in 2008 for the Nationwide Series due to a lack of sponsorship.

It’s undisputed that the COT provides enhanced safety for the drivers – which are undeniably priceless. However, compensation for improved safety should be at the forefront of NASCAR’s economic model and NASCAR should provide assistance for the teams’ through financial allowances to ensure that drivers and crew members are safe; while at the same time, enabling team owners’ to survive. It’s unfortunate that team owners must bear 100% of the financial burden of safety while NASCAR corporate continues to retain the vast majority of revenues and profits – continuing to drain many of the teams’ livelihoods – and perhaps even to the sport’s future longevity.

If I was still an owner of my NASCAR team (Bang! Racing), I would organize the Nationwide Series Team Owners to take a stand and demand financial assistance from NASCAR to adopt the COT in 2009. If Dale Jr. can’t afford to- who in the world can?